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Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050

26 Jun, 2023 | 01:00h | UTC

Summary: This systematic review analyzed the global burden of diabetes, including trends, projections, and attributions to risk factors. It considered data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), covering 204 countries and territories.

In 2021, an estimated 529 million people worldwide were living with diabetes. Regionally, the highest rates were observed in North Africa, the Middle East, and Oceania. Type 2 diabetes accounted for 96% of diabetes cases and 95.4% of diabetes DALYs (disability-adjusted life-years). More than half of global type 2 diabetes DALYs were attributable to high body mass index (BMI).

Predictions suggest that more than 1.31 billion people will have diabetes by 2050, with high prevalence rates in North Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America. The study notes the ongoing challenge of preventing and controlling type 2 diabetes, largely driven by increasing obesity. An understanding of disparities in risk profiles and disease burdens can inform strategies to control diabetes risk factors.

Article: Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 – The Lancet

Editorial: Diabetes: a defining disease of the 21st century – The Lancet

News Release: Global diabetes cases to soar from 529 million to 1.3 billion by 2050 – Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

 

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