Study shows practitioners overestimate the probability of disease before and after testing

Accuracy of Practitioner Estimates of Probability of Diagnosis Before and After Testing – JAMA Internal Medicine (free for a limited period)

Commentary: Physicians, Probabilities, and Populations—Estimating the Likelihood of Disease for Common Clinical Scenarios – JAMA Internal Medicine (free for a limited period)

Commentary on Twitter

How good are doctors at diagnosis?

This is the most relevant paper I have written. Not perfect but addresses a huge issue I think could change medicine if acknowledged
…it has changed how I think about diagnosishttps://t.co/4ZtoD3F4rF @JAMAInternalMed @drjohnm
1/n

— Dan Morgan (@dr_dmorgan) April 12, 2021